Ranked for a consultancy or MSP of a few people, without a vendor badge that opens doors on its own.
01
The in-house IT person leaving
Highest intent signal in the trade, and it is published
A company advertising for a sysadmin, IT manager or head of IT is telling you, publicly and with a date, that the person holding everything together is going or gone.
What follows is predictable. Nothing is documented. Nobody knows which licences renew when. The role takes three months to fill and another three to become useful, and in the meantime the finance director is fielding questions about a backup nobody has tested.
That is a co-managed engagement waiting to happen, and it is far easier to sell than a full outsource, because it does not require anyone to admit a mistake. You are covering a gap, not replacing a decision.
The window is narrow. Once the replacement is in and settled the door closes for a year or two, so this channel needs checking weekly rather than quarterly.
02
Compliance and regulatory deadlines
A real deadline, which is rare and valuable
Most IT spending can be postponed forever. Compliance spending cannot, because somebody external has set the date.
In Europe that currently means NIS2 for in-scope sectors, DORA in financial services, ISO 27001 where a customer is demanding it, and the security questionnaires that now arrive with every enterprise contract. Any of these turns a vague intention into a funded project with an owner.
The most reliable version is second-hand: a company that has just won a large customer and been handed a security questionnaire it cannot answer. That is an urgent, specific, well-funded problem with a name on it.
The discipline this channel needs is honesty. If you are not genuinely competent on the framework, say so and refer it. Overclaiming here is found out during the audit, which is the worst possible moment and a small market to be found out in.
03
Vertical depth, especially regulated ones
Slow to build, extremely hard to compete with
A generalist MSP competes on price and response time, both of which are easy to undercut. An MSP that knows how a dental practice handles patient data, or what a law firm's insurer requires, or what an architecture practice does with enormous files, competes with almost nobody.
Regulated verticals are best because the compliance requirement does the selling for you and the switching cost is genuinely high once you are embedded.
It also transforms the outreach problem. You stop needing something clever to say to each stranger, because the thing that is true of all of them is specific enough to lead with.
The cost is that you will turn work down for a year before the referral loop inside the vertical starts running. Most firms quit before that.
04
Growth, moves and mergers
Earlier than the pain, lower hit rate
An office move means a new network. Rapid headcount growth means the setup that worked for thirty is failing at ninety. A merger means two of everything and a deadline to reconcile them.
These get you in before the crisis, which means less competition, but also before anyone has agreed a budget. Expect a longer path and write a different email: shorter, less certain, and explicitly early.
A second site is the most reliable of the three, because connectivity between offices is a problem the company cannot pretend is not there.
05
Vendors, accountants and the trades near you
High trust, low volume, worth setting up once
Software resellers, telecoms providers, accountants and bookkeepers all sit next to companies with IT problems and none of them wants to solve one.
Accountants are the underrated one. They see the finance system, the payroll, and the invoices for whatever the current arrangement is, and they get asked "do you know anyone for IT" more often than any vendor does.
It is fifth because it does not scale and it is not under your control. Set it up, then go back to the first three.